Check out Erich Richter’s favorite prop bets for the Big Game.
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read ourWe’ve profited the last two weeks and have worked our way back to the break-even mark after a sorry end to the regular season that saw us move from double-digit profit to a deficit; hopefully, you missed those weeks.
Regardless, we have an opportunity to end in the money. We cut our deficit nearly in half, earning 1.29 units in championship week, bringing our season total to -1.58 units. We bet one unit combined on each of these props, so don’t overexpose yourself and enjoy the Big Game as the 2026 Super Bowl comes into focus this weekend.It’s been a while since Smith-Njigba has received jet-sweep-like carries for the Seahawks: He has only cleared this number three times this season, but that doesn’t matter. What does matter is the matchup, and Christian Gonzalez is going to be following around Smith-Njigba for pretty much the entire game. Gonzalez is one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL and plays mostly man coverage against the opposing team’s top receiver.Everyone is going to be betting on Smith-Njigba’s overs in receptions and yards, but I’m taking the contrarian approach. Expect the Patriots to key in on him and force the Seahawks to get creative and give him a carry or two on end-around style plays. The Patriots have a top-five run defense, allowing 3.73 yards per carry to opposing running backs, the third-best figure in the NFL. Where they struggle is against opposing rushing quarterbacks. Opposition quarterbacks average 5.03 yards per carry, the seventh-worst number in the NFL this season.Sam Darnold isn’t a big-time runner; his rush attempt prop is set for 2.5 carries, but given New England’s holes when spying on opposing quarterbacks, I think this is a good shot. I project Darnold’s rushing total at eight, giving us a nice edge on the 6.5 at plus-money on BetMGM. Darnold took three carries for nine yards last week and is a good bet to do it again as he appears fully recovered from a nagging oblique injury.Other betting operators have Darnold to score a touchdown at +550; you’re getting nearly double that here, and all you need is a quarterback sneak at the goal line.Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.NFL first-round draft pick arrested after domestic dispute with WNBA starNBC announcer caught on hot mic ripping 'so boring' Olympics competitionSam Darnold has always been one of the good guys — and his Super Bowl chance is easy to pull for
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