Will Zalatoris highlights three of the best bets to make for the Scottish Open.
statistical modeling strategyWe begin as always with our derivative selections for the event. This week, I’ve focused in on three PGA Tour players who present good value based on both my statistical model and their overall course history.
The worry is always the same with Zalatoris — will his putter be average enough to contend — but his statistical profile appears to fit this course well. Those wide fairways will also emphasize Zalatoris’s strength: approach play. He’s 13th in the field in SG: approach over his last 12 rounds and sits 10th in the field in GIRs gained. Expand the sample size to his previous 24 rounds and prospective bettors will find Zalatoris is ninth and fourth, respectively, in those two categories.
Burns rates out third or better in all of the following models: eight-round , 12-round , 24-round and 50-round . Just in terms of the 12-round projection, Burns ranks 20th or better in all but two individual measures.
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