Saudi Arabia to extend voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of the year

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Saudi Arabia to extend voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of the year
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Riyadh first applied the 1 million-barrels-per-day reduction in July.

Saudi Arabia faces a difficult juggling act between implementing oil production cuts and the blow to its crude-reliant economy. Losses incurred by trimming production — and, indirectly, marketing volumes — could be partially offset by increases in Riyadh's sale prices and in the global oil prices that underpin them.

After languishing below $75 per barrel for the better part of the first half of the year, global futures prices shot up by more than $10 per barrel over the summer, most recently boosted by security risks in OPEC member Gabon and the threat of disruption in the Gulf of Mexico, in the wake of Hurricane Idalia.

The Paris-based International Energy Agency expects increasing supply tightness in the second half of 2023 as demand recovers in China, the world's largest crude importer. Saudi Arabia depends on oil revenues to support several so-called"giga-projects" designed to diversify its economy. Crude output cuts and a fall in oil prices earlier this year led to a slowdown in Riyadh's GDP, which expanded by an annual 1.1% in the second quarter, down from 3.8% in the previous quarter and 11.2%Saudi state-controlled Aramco typically sells crude supplies through annual contracts that often state minimal volumes to be made available to clients.

At stake is also the prospect of conceding market share to Russia and Iran which produce similar-quality crude to Saudi Arabia and have primarily directed their exports to China, offering heavily discounted prices.that his country was producing as much as 3.19 million barrels per day, despite ongoing U.S. sanctions that have deprived Tehran of European and most Asian buyers.

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