If the run comes in as forecast, it would be about the same size as runs in the early 2000s, according to state records.
Sockeye salmon gather in Lake Nerka near the mouth of Sam Creek on Friday, July 22, 2022 in Wood-Tikchik State Park. Tens of thousands of salmon will gather in the lake at the mouth of their natal rivers before they make a push up the river to spawn.
The 2024 Bristol Bay sockeye salmon run is expected to total 39 million fish, with a predicted range between about 25 million and 53 million fish, according to a preliminaryThat is 35% lower than the average over the past 10 years but 6% higher than the long-term average for Bristol Bay, the department said in its forecast.
The annual observed total run of sockeye salmon in Bristol Bay compared to preseason total run forecasts for 2001 to 2024. Error bars represent 80% confidence intervals of forecasts.
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