SA is going to run out of ICU beds, and it could be as early as June.
And the situation would be have been a lot bleaker without the lockdown, which reduced the transmission of Covid-19 in the country by between 40% and 60%.
These figures are according to different modellers who took part in a presentation by the department of health on Thursday. He also called on the public to acknowledge that this crisis is unfolding before our eyes, and there is thus no way of knowing if a model is perfectly accurate until after the fact.“We must appreciate that this has been an unfolding pandemic and we have all been learning over the past few months what this means for our country.
The consortium concluded that “the initial social distancing and lockdown measures have worked” by delaying the peak and allowing time for “mitigation measures for the upcoming wave”.
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