Stocks may be in for a turbulent week ahead amid escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions. Investors’ premonitions about a weaker growth outlook from the IMF may amplify risk-off sentiment. Get your market update from DimitriZabelin here:
Equity markets in Europe and the United States may be in for a rough ride ahead of a packed week of economic data and geopolitical stress. This includes the French presidential runoff, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, the IMF growth outlook, Fed commentary, and a cascade of economic data. This constellation of narratives suggests volatility ahead.before the Easter holiday weekend.
amplified volatility and revealed a downside disposition of investors’ sentiment. Given the current fundamental circumstances, it is likely this downward trend may continue throughout the week, barring a surge of optimism.Russian forces continue to move in from the east, with the latest source of tension coming from the city of Mariupol. The Kremlin notified the remaining Ukrainian soldiers that should they lay down their arms, they will be offered safe passage.
Russia’s invasion has also led Sweden and Finland to consider joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization , with public opinion in the latter country jumping from just 30% in support of joining to now over 60%. Sweden has historically remained neutral vis-à-vis NATO and Russia, but the invasion has notably strengthened the case for membership.
The two Nordic countries have moved in lockstep on the matter, and their recent pivot has prompted a sharp response from Russia. Moscow warned that it would deploy nuclear weapons in the Baltic Sea if either country joined. Looking ahead, investors and policymakers alike will be watching very closely how Stockholm and Helsinki respond.
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