Russia May Come Between OPEC Nations

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Russia May Come Between OPEC Nations
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Russia's increased influence on OPEC has come to irk Iran and other member nations. This presents a risk of instability heading into the coming OPEC meeting.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners are supposed to meet on June 25 to decide whether or not the cartel will continue its current oil production quotas through the end of 2019. With oil prices in the low $50s for WTI and low $60s for Brent, extending the deal seems like it should be a slam dunk.

Russia's President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at last year's G20 summit in Argentina.The last time OPEC met, in December, the group was unable to reach a consensus until Russia agreed to participate. It is entirely possible that without support from Russia for a continuation of the current production quotas, Iran, Venezuela and other smaller or suffering OPEC producers will refuse to support the deal.

Most analysts seem to expect the status quo to continue for OPEC and its partners, but there is a growing possibility that the tension will only rise. Even if Russia does not appear at the OPEC meeting, Russia will loom large over the discussions.

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