The Road to 272 Bets continues after a strong Week 6, Iain MacMillan is back to break down his best bet for every single Week 7 game.
After a tough start to the season, we have certainly found our stride on the Road to 272 Bets. We've now posted three straight profitable weeks, including a magical Week 6, where we went 10-4 for +5.11 units.We'll do our best to keep our momentum going in Week 7. With only two teams on BYE this week, we have 15 games to place a bet on including a Monday Night Football double-header.
It's worth noting the Saints rank dead last in Net Yards per Play over each team's last three games at -1.9. The hot start to the season for New Orleans seems like a lifetime ago.The Jaguars are starting to look like a picture-perfect "Over" team this season. A lot of the blame for their 1-5 record this season has fallen on their offense, but the Jaguars rank around the middle of the pack in most offensive metrics including 15th in yards per play .
Unless these teams get their run game going in a big way, I'd be surprised to see the combined score anywhere near 44 points.I'm still trying to figure out just how good this Vikings team is. There's no denying what they've done this season is impressive and they are certainly worthy of being penciled into the postseason, but have they done enough to be two-point favorites to arguably the best team in the NFC? I'm not quite ready to say that.
Not only does Green Bay outrank them in most metrics, including EPA on both sides of the football, but Jordan Love has certainly found his stride after returning from injury. On their home field, they're going to be a tough challenge for any team to face.This looks like a perfect buy-low spot on Seattle and sell-high spot on Atlanta.
It's also worth noting both teams have struggled getting in the end zone when they have the ball deep in their opponent's territories. They're tied for 25th in the NFL in red zone touchdown scoring percentage, scoring a touchdown just 44.44% of the time they get in the red zone.Panthers vs. Commanders Prediction
Let's not forget the injury issues the Rams are dealing with. Puka Nacua and Steve Avila won't return to action this week and Joe Noteboom is still questionable. They remain one of the most injured teams in the league and their metrics to date don't give me confidence they can start winning games. They're 30th in the NFL in Net Yards per Play , 17th in EPA per play, and 31st in opponent EPA per play.
If you have to give credit to the Steelers for continuously finding ways to win games, but eventually their level of play is going to catch up to them. They're just 20th in the NFL in Net Yards per Play at -0.2, well below the Jets who arguably outplayed the Bills on Monday night.
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