House Democratic campaign strategists, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to outline internal strategy, believe it’s likely that Republicans will flip Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola’s seat in Alaska.
Republicans are on the cusp of regaining the House majority for the 119th Congress and securing total control of Washington, days after the party won the presidency and control of the Senate.
A Republican trifecta in Washington would ensure that President-elect Donald Trump’s staunchly conservative agenda largely goes into effect. A GOP Congress would be committed to passing policies to secure the southern border and quickly reauthorizing Trump’s 2017 tax law, major portions of which expire at the end of 2025.
Trump is also expected to have a more favorable Senate than during his first term. Several have pledged allegiance to his MAGA movement, and three Republican senators are vying for his endorsement by pledging to cooperate with his wishes ahead of their leadership elections this week to replace Sen.
If Peltola loses, Democrats believe that they can only afford to lose one more district and then flip seven of the remaining eight competitive districts between California and Arizona to clinch the majority. Meanwhile, Trump’s voter turnout prowess helped Republicans unseat two Democrats in Pennsylvania and flip an open seat in Michigan that Democrats held since 2018.
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