Rep. Karen Bass leads by her biggest margin yet over developer Rick Caruso in the L.A. mayoral race.
– by half a percentage point after Bass began closing in on him. At that point, Caruso said he remained “cautiously optimistic.”
His campaign declined to comment on Monday, after the last four updates from the registrar’s office showed results more favorable to Bass, and did not immediately respond to a message seeking comment on Tuesday.who have monitored the race closely have indicated this week that it would be difficult for Caruso to flip the race in his favor moving forward.
Mindy Romero, director of USC’s Center for Inclusive Democracy, said ahead of Tuesday’s results update that while she was not calling the race, that things were looking “very good” for Bass., data analyst Paul Mitchell, vice president of Political Data Inc., noted that the last four batches of votes tallied up by that time showed Bass with a 20 percentage-point advantage on average.
“There’s not a lot of reason to suggest why that might switch back,” Mitchell said. If anything, he added, Bass is likely to increase her lead since later vote-by-mail ballots the registrar’s office receives after Election Day tend to come from Democrats and younger voters inclined to support more progressive candidates.
No matter the final numbers, Romero said Caruso’s ability to narrow the gap between himself and Bass among likely voters from 15 percentage points to 4 points, based on polls conducted in
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