Jason Logan, a lead NFL betting analyst, breaks down the highly anticipated Divisional Round matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills. He analyzes early line movement, offensive strengths, and key factors that could influence the outcome of this thrilling contest.
The most anticipated matchup of the divisional round takes place on Sunday night, and early predictions favor the visiting team. Conference title games and the Super Bowl undoubtedly generate excitement, but football bettors receive a special treat during the Divisional Round . This Sunday sees the Baltimore Ravens travel to Orchard Park to face the Buffalo Bills , a clash between two of the league's top MVP contenders: Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen .
This is the showdown everyone has been waiting for, and the odds suggest a tightly contested battle, narrowing the spread to a pick'em and pushing the line to Ravens -1 at most sportsbooks. Baltimore previously triumphed over Buffalo back in Week 4, securing a convincing 35-10 victory as 2.5-point home favorites. While the Bills were missing key defensive players during that game, the Ravens' offensive attack overwhelmed Buffalo, amassing 271 rushing yards and converting all four red zone opportunities. Looking at the game through a different lens, the Ravens' potent rushing attack, spearheaded by Lamar Jackson himself, presents a significant challenge for the Bills. The Bills have shown a tendency to focus on stopping the run, as evidenced by their strategy against the Broncos in the Wild Card Round. However, the Ravens possess a more dynamic offense that can adjust and exploit weaknesses. Against Denver, the Ravens' defense was able to generate pressure and force turnovers. Unlike the Broncos, the Ravens have the ability to respond effectively, and Allen will inevitably be pressured into making throws against a Baltimore defense ranked as the best against the pass. One of my initial bets for the Divisional Round was on the Over 51 points total for this matchup. Since then, the total has moved slightly off the key number of 51, settling at 51.5 points across most sportsbooks on Monday afternoon. This appears to be a low total considering the offensive firepower on display. The Bills and Ravens concluded the regular season ranked first and second, respectively, in EPA per play, demonstrating their offensive prowess. Both teams efficiently moved the chains against formidable defensive opponents in the Wild Card Round. Furthermore, both teams boast two of the league's most talented quarterbacks, known for their exceptional third-down conversions and ability to extend drives with their legs.Jackson and Allen are also capable of generating points within the red zone, so field goal attempts are unlikely to be a frequent occurrence. The initial look-ahead line for this potential matchup suggested a total of 52.5 points before the outcomes of Wild Card Weekend. The results from those games did not warrant a significant decrease in the over/under total, as Baltimore and Buffalo combined for 59 points while averaging 6.5 yards per play.
NFL Divisional Round Ravens Bills Lamar Jackson Josh Allen Betting Predictions Point Spread Over/Under
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