The Baltimore Ravens are heavily favored to defeat the Cleveland Browns in Week 18, with the Ravens potentially clinching the AFC North title with a win.
The Baltimore Ravens can clinch the AFC North with a win over the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday, January 4. Cleveland hasn’t been able to put points on the board, and Baltimore is clicking on both sides of the ball, so my top Browns vs. Ravens predictions are calling for the home team to pull away in the first half of this Week 18 bout between the division rivals.
The Ravens can secure the AFC North with a win, which will also ensure they’ll host a wild-card game as a sizable home favorite in look-ahead markets. The Browns, meanwhile, have struggled mightily, and they’ve dropped five straight to sit in the league’s basement with the New England Patriots, Tennessee Titans, and New York Giants at 3-13. In particular, the Browns haven’t been able to put points on the board with an average of just 7.5 per across their past four games. Head coach Kevin Stefanski has even hinted at making changes to the offensive scheme. Either way, it’s a nightmare setup with Baltimore turning a corner on defense and checking out as an elite stop unit since Week 11. The Ravens have surrendered the second-lowest EPA per play and lowest yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks while allowing just 16.3 points per game since Week 11. For comparison, Baltimore allowed the sixth-highest EPA per play and fourth-highest YPA to QBs with 25.3 points against per game to start the year. Of course, the Baltimore offense has also been a juggernaut out of the gate. The Ravens are third in EPA per play in the first half, and quarterback Lamar Jackson continues to make plays. The Ravens average an impressive 6.98 yards per play in the first half, while also ranking third in first-half points per game (14.9), including 18.3 through three games out of their bye week. Look for Baltimore to pull away from Cleveland in short order, especially considering the Browns are on an ice-cold 4-17 cooler against the spread in the first half
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