Could four AFC North teams make the playoffs? How do the NFC West and NFC North compare? We ranked all eight divisions heading into 2024.
Dan Graziano is a senior NFL national reporter for ESPN, covering the entire league and breaking news. Dan also contributes to Get Up, NFL Live, SportsCenter, ESPN Radio, Sunday NFL Countdown and Fantasy Football Now. He is a New Jersey native who joined ESPN in 2011, and he is also the author of two published novels. You can follow Dan on Twitter via @DanGrazianoESPN.
I'm actually higher on the Browns than the FPI, which ranks them as the second-best defense in the league but the 23rd-best offense. Maybe it's offseason optimism, but I think the changes they're making on offense are going to be significant and beneficial forIf anyone but Mike Tomlin were coaching the Steelers, I'd be a lot lower on them.
There are plenty of people around the league who think the Packers actually will win this division, and I certainly wouldn't be surprised if that happened. The FPI ranks Green Bay sixth in offense and 17th in defense, and it's possible it is too low on the Packers in both categories. You have to nitpick if you're going to choose between Detroit and Green Bay, and I have two things that make me hesitate.
You only have to go back to November to find yourself in a world where the Jaguars were runaway favorites in this division and one of the up-and-coming teams in the AFC. Improved line play and a healthierThe team I like a lot more than most people is the Colts, who played a division title game against the Texans in Week 18 last season withthis year.
And the Patriots might be the worst team in the league. The FPI has them 31st in offense and 27th in defense, and losingStephen A. Smith faces off with Randy Scott and Gary Striewski over which AFC East quarterback has the most to prove this season.
Can the Chiefs repeat last season's defensive performance? The FPI ranks them eighth there, which feels about right. But even if they don't replicate what they did there in 2023, the offenseto be better than it was. The FPI agrees, ranking it behind only San Francisco's unit. We don't need to spend a lot of time figuring out whether the Chiefs are good. The Chiefs are good.
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