Overall social distancing behavior actually *increased* after mass protests.
The study, published this month in the National Bureau of Economic Research, looked at anonymous cellphone GPS data from 315 US cities, 281 of which held protests. Researchers considered three different factors: the percent of the people who stayed at home full-time; median hours spent at home; and median percent of the day spent at home. Finally, they compared the changes in that social-distancing data to number of coronavirus cases tracked over time.
Researchers found that no evidence of a coronavirus spike following the onset of the protests. In fact, they said, there was"modest evidence of a small longer-run case growth decline." They speculated that a few factors came into play.One main concern: it was virtually impossible to maintainat many protests.
Researchers also considered another possible explanation: that protesters have continued to social distance after attending protests. That would keep case counts from spiking widely in the general population, many of whom are staying home more than before. Finally, researchers noted that the characteristics of the protesters themselves may have played a role. Protesters are often younger, so even if they're infected, they may experience fewer severe symptoms and forgo testing. Additionally, the study noted,"protest attendees
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