It’s hard not to notice how deeply RPOs have been woven into college football today. RPOs are also a great way to mask whether a QB is actually good enough to succeed at the next level. DianteLeeFB explains.
Turn on a college football game any given Saturday and take note of how often you hear “run-pass option” — or “RPO” — mentioned by the broadcasting team. It’s hard not to notice how deeply RPOs have been woven into the sport, so much so that announcers sometimes are quick to reference them for little reason beyond a quarterback’s lining up in the shotgun.
If we consider RPOs, throws behind the line of scrimmage or those in the “checkdown zone” to be noisy, low-value attempts from a scouting perspective, we’ll have a better idea of which quarterbacks carry the strongest indicators of future success. We’re looking for those who can make the downfield throwsBrugler: Revisiting my initial 2023 NFL Draft board from last summer
Filtering out throws with typically high completion rates makes traditional metrics like completion percentage and yards per attempt less valuable. It’s also worthwhile to account for throws that traveled 5 or more yards but still fell short of the sticks, especially on third or fourth down. For that reason, we’ll use success rate to measure efficiency and expected points added to track explosiveness.
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