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Upon securing another six years in power, Vladimir Putin suggested that Russia may seek to extend a buffer zone into Ukrainian territory to prevent drones and other long-range weapons from being able to strike Russian territory.
With the much heralded counter offensive from the Ukrainians failing to recapture any meaningful amount of its territory and in light of widespread reports of ammunition shortages, Moscow may use the opportunity this Spring to seize more territory in the north east of the country in order to seal off access to Russian targets like Belgorod, Kursk, and Bryansk.
It is also unclear if Kyiv — without considerable pressure placed upon it by the West — would be willing to freeze the current lines of the conflict, with President Zelensky’s government very much being of the view that it must have its United Nations-recognised 1991 borders, as established at the collapse of the Soviet Union, respected.
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