Our Purdue vs. Michigan State predictions expect points to be at a premium in East Lansing.
Two of the worst teams in the Big Ten go toe-to-toe tonight when Purdue heads northeast to take on Michigan State.
For as bad as Michigan State has been — 91st in SP+ — its defense has had some bright moments and ranks 50th in SP+ this season. Against Power Four opponents, it gave up 24 or fewer points to Boston College, Iowa, and Michigan. Purdue is ranked 129th out of 134 in points per game this season and has scored 10 points or fewer in six of nine games against FBS teams. It’s an offense that’s 98th in EPA per rush and 121st in EPA per dropback.
Marsh leads the team in yards from scrimmage and has gone Over 49.5 receiving yards in four of his last five games. He’s also Top 60 nationally in yards per route run and will be a tough cover for Purdue.
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