Predicting the College Football Playoffs: Reflections on Week 1

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Predicting the College Football Playoffs: Reflections on Week 1
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How the earliest games are already shaping Nebraska’s chances for making the playoffs.

The expansion of the playoffs to 12 teams this year will bring with it many changes, and some will not be obvious at first. Since Nebraska fans have a well-deserved reputation for being a) among the most knowledgeable of fans, and b) ridiculously optimistic, I thought that it would be fun to begin the season tracking where we stand in line for a playoff bid, who is our chief competition for a spot, etc.

Of the 5 autobids to the highest rated conference champions, the 4 highest rated will receive a first-round bye in the playoffs. If upsets occur in conference championship games, it can lead to some potential distortions to the playoff rankings. The 4 top-rated conference champs must be ranked #1 through #4 for the playoffs, even if they have multiple losses and Notre Dame is undefeated.

For Nebraska fans, this means that we truly should be rooting for every one of our opponents to win as much and by as much as possible in every other game on their schedule. So, if you were rooting for North Dakota State to upset Colorado, be grateful that it didn’t happen. If you were glad to see Minnesota miss the field goal that cost them their first game against North Carolina, you should probably enjoy it a little less.

As long as we’re on this tangent of programs choosing to no longer play at the highest level, it’s not crazy to think that eventually schools like Northwestern, Stanford, Cal, and/or Vanderbilt might decide to go the way of the Ivies and stop competing at the highest level of football. If you go back to the mid-1900s, Penn was a national football power. Before that, in the 1920s and 30s the University of Chicago was a national power.

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