It will will move into the southern Gulf on Wednesday morning, develop into a hurricane and track northward across the Gulf.
This system is beginning to take shape in the Western Caribbean. When this system forms, it will have nowhere to go but towards a landfall. The models are focusing on a northeast Gulf landfall Thursday afternoon or evening anywhere from the Florida Panhandle to the Big Bend region of Florida. Even though most of the models bring this storm east of our area, we ARE NOT out of the realm of possibilities so we need to prepare like a hurricane is on the way.
How strong would this be? Unfortunately, the water temperatures are extremely warm, but fortunately, there will be some higher shear in the northern Gulf. Hopefully that will start to impact this potential storm before it makes landfall, but it will likely be a significant hurricane. We’ll have to wait and see how this develops in the coming days. The main thing for you to do is to get prepared. Today will be hot, but quiet and we have time to get ready for any potential development.
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from Rio Lagartos to Tulum, and a Hurricane Watch from Cabo Catoche to Tulum. The government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the Isle of Youth, Artemisa, and Pinar del Rio, and a Hurricane Watch for Pinar del Rio.
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