While it is easy to compare the two Democratic presidential candidates, pollsters have suggested doing so might not be as simple as a like for like analysis.
"I get comparing the polls now against the 2016 exit polls or post-election American National Election Study. That can help tell you where Biden is doing worse/better than the actual 2016 vote," Chris Jackson, head of public polling at Ipsos, told"Comparing current polls against the polls at this time in 2016, however, I've never quite understood."
Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, also suggested the sway of events is difficult to factor as the campaigns"aren't travelling on the same trajectory." Early voting could be one factor which could impact this, as there is less time for situations to alter the minds of those voters.
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