Polling guru Nate Silver and his election prediction model gave Donald Trump a 63.8% chance of winning the Electoral College in an update to his latest election forecast on Sunday, after a NYT-Siena College poll found the former president leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point.
Polling guru Nate Silver predicts Trump has 64 per cent chance of winning the electoral college in latest forecast
The NYT/Siena college poll also found more voters said Harris is"too liberal or progressive" on key policy issues than voters who said they considered Trump to be"too conservative." Silver initially wrote on Wednesday that Trump's chances of winning the Electoral College have increased from 52.4% to 58.2% since the end of August. Harris' odds had decreased from 47.3% to 41.6% in that same time frame."The good news for Harris is that there’s a debate on Tuesday, and if she turns in a strong performance, nobody is going to care so much about the Times poll. We’ll have a longer narrative update on the state of the race coming later today," he wrote.
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