Former President Trump, the current 2024 Republican frontrunner, is the subject of numerous legal probes. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll found just 23% of Americans believe he should be allowed to serve as president again if convicted of a “serious” crime.
Yet while the new Yahoo News/YouGov poll suggests that criminal convictions in these cases could make it very challenging for Trump to defeat President Biden in the 2024 November general election, the numbers also indicate that Trump could still easily win the Republican nomination even if he’s found guilty.
A police car is parked outside the Mar-a-Lago club, the Palm Beach, Fla., home of former President Donald Trump, in April. The problem for Trump, then, is clear. Most Americans and voters already think he has “committed a serious crime at [some] time in his life.
Still, it would be a heavy lift to win a general election while under indictment or on trial for crimes that more than 6 in 10 voters currently consider disqualifying. At the same time, Trump is even more dominant in hypothetical head-to-head matchups against other declared, likely or potential GOP candidates, leading South Carolina Gov. Tim Scott, 69% to 18%; former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, 70% to 18%; former Vice President Mike Pence, 73% to 16%; former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, 77% to 10%; and Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, 72% to 10%.It’s a long shot.
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