Our Pirates vs. Cubs predictions expect Kyle Hendricks to mow down a Pirates' offense struggling to end the season.
Kyle Hendricks' strikeout stuff is as reliable as Clark Griswold installing Christmas lights, but there are times when the stars align for everything to go his way — and tonight is one of those times.The Pittsburgh Pirates snatched Game 1 away from the Chicago Cubs, and the NL Central rivals will hit the diamond again tonight.
Additionally, his 6.05 K/9 and 15.2% K rate don’t lag too far behind last year’s 6.11 and 16.1 marks. It’s just opposing hitters sport a .299 batting average and .319 BABIP against him in 2024. Hendricks held hitters to a .252 average and .283 BABIP last year, and there’s potential for positive regression from the righty given Pittsburgh’s struggles at the dish.
Chicago has been more disciplined at the dish during its 12-4 run with a sixth-best 19.4% K rate and a fourth-ranked 9.8% walk rate, too. The Cubs also have an MLB-high wOBA while averaging the most runs per game during the heater. Finally, I also recommend this same-game parlay through DraftKings for two reasons. The total is at 7.0 while most books have it at 7.5. Additionally, it’s priced at +555 through FanDuel with the 7.5 total, so there’s an extra out if the two teams don’t top seven runs, and the +625 DraftKings odds are notably better. The difference checks out as a positive expected value of 11% to the +625 DraftKings price.
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