Boston looks for better luck as they face a lefty in our Phillies vs. Red Sox picks, odds & expert predictions for Thursday, May 14.
The Red Sox typically fare better against lefties and will need that edge to produce at home against Jesús Luzardo and the Phillies. The Phillies and Red Sox play the rubber game of their midweek series at Fenway on Thursday.
Each team has a win, but they’ve combined for seven runs in the two games. Boston and Philly are both playing better since changing managers last month, but neither team is hitting. have scored three runs or fewer at Fenway Park. Boston has scored 21 in their last 11 at home. in strikeout percentage, swing and miss, chase rate, exit velocity against and hard-hit percentage against. His FIP is below 3.00.
So he should start seeing better results soon. Suarez left Philadelphia last winter after eight seasons, so he’s familiar with the lineup. He’s held opponents scoreless in four of his last five starts and has logged two eight-inning outings over that span. His fastball’s run value is in MLB’s top 1%, and his overall pitching value is top 5%.
Most of Luzardo’s struggles have been at home this season. He’s 2-0, 2.04 in road starts with 12 strikeouts per nine. Opponents are hitting 21% below league average against him away from Philadelphia. Add that to Boston’s offensive struggles at home and it should be low-scoring.
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home : Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC.
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