MLB predictions, picks, and odds for Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres on 4-26. MLB best bets and free picks.
Joe Musgrove's had a rough start to this season, but our MLB picks aren't ready to fade the Padres starter, who faces a potential bounce-back spot against the Phillies.
It’s an intriguing pitching duel between Aaron Nola and Joe Musgrove. According to MLB odds, this one is lined as a pick ‘em, while the total resides at 7.5. have been two of the best right-handed starters over the last handful of seasons. There are some similarities in that both have remained relatively healthy — especially by the standards of today’s day and age — while routinely finishing with effective ERAs below 4.00.
He still possesses good swing-and-miss stuff despite the K numbers not yet accounting for it. His 11.4% swinging strike rate is on par with his 11.7% career average, whereas Nola’s is down to 9.1% — well below his 11.6% career number. That’s despite Nola having faced a very weak level of competition to start the year, and themay have more big names in their lineup, but it’s the Padres who have the better numbers through the first month.
When it comes time for the managers to call on the bullpen, the Padres will hold the advantage, as their 4.08 ERA in relief is about league averages, while the Phillies have an ugly 5.85 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Of the seven Philadelphia relief pitchers who have thrown eight or more innings, four have an ERA above 5.50.
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