Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs predictions, picks, and odds for 7-2, plus MLB best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
The Phillies are likely underdogs because of starting pitcher Michael Mercado's relative inexperience. But that makes the road team's moneyline a strong value proposition since Philly has outperformed the Cubs every step of the way this season.
Regardless, that sample size is meaningless, which is likely why Philadelphia is priced as the underdog. However, I am on the optimistic side of this uncertainty. We’ve already seen the beginnings of this expected regression as Wesneski is 0-1 over his past four outings with a fade-worthy 7.88 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. The Cubs lost all four of those games.
The Cubs’ relief pitching ranks 20th or lower in ERA, FIP, and xFIP. If we are backing both a high-scoring game as well as a Phillies victory, then a highly-correlated outcome would be forCastellanos is 2-4 in his career against Wesneski and has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his past 13 games.Chicago opened as a -130 favorite and remains at that price at the time of writing.The total opened at 9.5 and also remains at that price at the time of writing.
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