PHALA PHALA ANALYSIS: In the toxic wake of Phala Phala, and too close to Nasrec, ANC will likely play for time and cooler temperatures

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PHALA PHALA ANALYSIS: In the toxic wake of Phala Phala, and too close to Nasrec, ANC will likely play for time and cooler temperatures
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As the ANC’s national executive committee is due to meet to discuss the way forward for the party (and President Cyril Ramaphosa), there is now a long series of issues that decision-makers need to address. It has been said many times over the past few ...

At the core of the problem may be the fact that the ANC main conference is due to start Friday week, which means that its delegates could overturn any decision made by the current NEC, whose mandate is about to expire in 11 days. And the delegates themselves, due to the explosive developments of the past few days, may no longer have clear mandates from their structures, making any kind of political organisation very difficult.

As branch delegates are given a mandate by their branch, but allowed to be lobbied at conference and vote in secret, this means that the real question facing the ANC, and South Africa, is what those delegates will do. The argument would go that it would be much simpler, and less dangerous, to allow Ramaphosa to fight it out at the conference, one way or another… and then to either stay on or resign, following that outcome. Certainly, it would mean one change of power rather than two.

The fact is that any polling now will probably be premature; it can take a while for findings and scandals to work their way into the public mindset. And thus it may only be early next year before any public reaction to Phala Phala can be accurately polled.It is of course true that other leaders could be elected at the conference to take over from Ramaphosa.

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