Observers and watchers of the South China Sea situation will probably predict that the April exercises will provoke China to issue another warning of war, which calmer voices will cool down.
The spell-out of details and participants appeared calculated to raise also the temperature and tempers in Beijing.An exercise, after all, is just a rehearsal or practice like calisthenics. This one is designed to promote the general fitness and preparedness of alliance forces watching over 'the hottest flashpoint in the world.
Chang took on as his subject the war warnings of China:''If the US doesn't hit the brakes and continues to barrel down the wrong track,' China's Foreign Minister Qin Gang said on March 7, 'no amount of guardrails can prevent the carriage from derailing and crashing, and there will surely be conflict and confrontation.' He also spoke of 'catastrophic consequences.'The unusually pointed warning followed that of Chinese ruler Xi Jinping of the day before.
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