Researchers estimate infections nationwide may reach 150,000 cases by the end of August if prevailing quarantine restrictions will be implemented “strictly and effectively.”
By July 31, the Philippines totaledMetro Manila 'particularly concerning'
The researchers warned that while lags in reporting of data hindered acquiring an accurate number of cases reported daily in the past week, “it appears that the surge has not yet peaked.” If public health authorities are not careful, these critical patients will experience a lack of proper care because of lack of health care workers. This will lead to an increase in non-Covid-19 deaths.The finding is particularly troublesome, they said, as testing capacity in National Capital Region “has dramatically increased since then, to more than 15,000 tests per day.” In an ideal situation, positivity rates should drop as more people are tested.
“This surge in new cases, if left unabated, poses a real danger of the virus leading not just to exponential growth in the number of cases and deaths but also to the overwhelming of the health care system in the NCR,” they said. They cautioned against an approach that only increased hospital and critical care capacity, without increasing the number of health personnel. This move could compromise health care services for even non-COVID cases.
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