Paul Krugman: Understanding the red state death trip

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Paul Krugman: Understanding the red state death trip
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Paul Krugman: 'Over the past four decades, our life expectancy has been lagging ever further than that of other advanced nations — even nations whose economic performance has been poor by conventional measures.'

An American flag is flown at a rally at the Valdosta Regional Airport in Valdosta, Ga., Dec. 5, 2020.Last Friday the Medicare trustees released their latest report on the system’s finances, and it contained some unexpected good news: Expenditures are running below projections, and the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund won’t be exhausted as soon as previously predicted.

And America’s dismal COVID performance was part of a larger story. I don’t know how many Americans are aware that over the past four decades, our life expectancy has been lagging ever further than that of other advanced nations — even nations whose economic performance has been poor by conventional measures. Italy, for example, has experienced a generation of economic stagnation, with basically no growth in real gross domestic product per capita since 2000, compared with a 29% rise here.

Instead, they argued, the best explanation lay in policy: “The most promising explanation for our findings involve efforts by high-income states to adopt specific health-improving policies and behaviors since at least the early 1990s. Over time, these efforts reduced mortality in high-income states more rapidly than in low-income states, leading to widening spatial disparities in health.”

There are several reasons to believe that America’s death trip is largely political rather than economic. One is the comparison with European nations, which have had much better health trends even when, as in Italy, their economies have performed badly.

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