The Patriots bring a poor pass defense into this matchup with the Dolphins, and Tyreek Hill should expose their flaws, as Neil Parker explains in his NFL betting picks.
The New England Patriots head south to face the Miami Dolphins in an AFC East tilt on Sunday, November 24.
Regardless of the opponents, the Dolphins allowing the seventh-lowest EPA per play and just 34 total points over the past two weeks reinforces their progress.. He opened at a 66.5 total and moved to 67.5 at BetMGM before dropping all the way to 61.5 early Friday afternoon. The Pats have surrendered the fourth-highest EPA per dropback and rank 23rd in PFF pass grade while also allowing the 10th-highest yards per target to opposing wide receivers. I also value New England generating pressure on just 19.8% of dropbacks .
On offense, the Dolphins have generated the third-highest EPA per play since Tagovailoa's return in Week 8, and he's connected on 77.7% of his passes for a respectable 7.4 YPA while leading Miami to an average of 27.8 points per game.Stevenson has ran for 147 yards over the past two games with 20 carries in each, and while his 3.7 yards per tote is nothing to write home about, his role as the clear No. 1 RB isn’t in doubt.The Dolphins opened as a -7.
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