An NBC News review of historical polling data shows that lawmakers have not paid a steep political price in past government shutdowns.
As Republican leaders on Capitol Hill scramble to rescue a government funding deal after President-elect Donald Trump helped torpedo an initial agreement, an NBC News review of historical polling data shows that lawmakers have not paid a steep political price in past government shutdown s. It’s a point some shutdown proponents have been making as Trump and his allies, including billionaire Elon Musk, called on Republicans to abandon a bipartisan funding deal that was released this week.
“President Trump and Republicans should not be afraid of a government shutdown. The next election is two years away,” former House Speaker Newt Gingrich posted on X. “We had two shutdowns in 1995 and became the first reelected house gop majority since 1928.” “It may take shock therapy for schumer and democrats to learn President Trump is serious about draining the swamp,” Gingrich continued, referring to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. In the 1996 elections, Republicans gained nine House seats and two Senate seats even as President Bill Clinton was re-elected, according to the American Presidency Project. While Republicans have shouldered the blame for more recent shutdowns, standoffs over government funding have not been a major factor in subsequent elections. The most recent government shutdown occurred during Trump’s first term. It began in December 2018 and ended in January 2019, spanning 35 days and becoming the longest in U.S. history. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll in January 2019, before a funding deal was announced, found 50% of Americans blamed Trump for the shutdown, while 37% said Democrats in Congress were responsible. But Trump’s 43% approval rating in that same survey was unchanged from a poll prior to the shutdown. An overwhelming share of Americans — 71% — said at the time that neither they nor someone in their family had been affected by the shutdown, while 28% said they had been affected
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