MLB predictions, picks, and odds for San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks on 5-4. MLB best bets and free picks.
Arizona's offense has shriveled up like a worm left out in the desert heat, and our MLB picks believe this is a great time to target the Padres at plus money.
My Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions are targeting San Diego as a slight moneyline underdog in a spot where Arizona is floundering for offense. Read more in myare slim -125 home faves in this NL West showdown which is likely due to a perceived edge on the mound. They are starting sophomore right-hander
While the Diamondbacks have a small edge when it comes to starting pitching, San Diego's lineup is far more dangerous, and the analytics back that up. San Diego is second in the majors in xBA and has an xSLG of .422, while Arizona has a .249 xBA and a .389 xSLG. Pfaadt is coming off a performance where he fanned a career-high 11 batters without allowing a single walk. His control has been impressive and he's currently in the Top 10th percentile in walk rate. Pfaadt has fewer than 1.5 walks in 11 of his previous 16 starts going back to last year. The ML has slimmed from -130 to -125 for the Diamondbacks while the total has ticked down from 9.0 to 8.5.
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