Over 2 million voters still undecided, say CT-based researchers

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Over 2 million voters still undecided, say CT-based researchers
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SAElection2019 | 'We have now come to understand that Ramaphosa is causing a significant portion of undecided voters to lean towards the ANC.'

“By using their preference for a specific party to determine how these voters were leaning, the proportion of undecided voters moves from 11% to 7% or 1.3 million people who truly do not have a clear party preference,” he said. The undecided voters were then analysed in terms of their preference for a particular political leader; which could also impact on voting day behavior," added Omar.

The DA would get a small increase attributable to Mmusi Maimane placing the estimated electoral performance of the DA at 20% and would give the EFF a slight increase of 1% due to the preference of Julius Malema, indicating how largely synonymous he was with the party. Other parties’ support would remain unchanged at 5%.

Aside from political party preference and the political leader preference, another factor that could influence who the ‘undecideds’ opted to vote for would be how the parties had managed to position themselves in relation to solving some of the country’s biggest problems, often done via their manifestos and election campaign messaging.

The EFF, in line with their election manifesto, is strongly associated with reducing corruption. Over the past three years the EFF has protested against corruption, taking a leading role in the #ZumaMustFall movement and have therefore become associated with reducing corruption. He added that despite the lights remaining on in April, the Eskom crisis and the coming load-shedding still weighed heavily on South Africans.

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