Get the latest Orioles vs. Guardians predictions as Corbin Burnes squares off against Gavin Williams. Free MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, August 4.
It's a battle of division leaders as the Orioles and Guardians wrap up this four game set at Progressive Field. With Corbin Burns on the bump for the O's, our MLB picks believe the Orioles have the decided advantage in this one.
His underlying metrics are equally dominant as the right-hander ranks in the 80th percentile or higher in xERA, average exit velocity, walk rate, and hard-hit rate. This success is likely to continue against theFollowing Burnes is a strong bullpen that ranks in the top half of the league in ERA, FIP, and xFIP. Meanwhile, this pitching staff should receive an abundance of run support.
It’s been a difficult campaign for Williams, who is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.34 WHIP through six starts. His analytics are even worse, considering that he possesses a 5.05 xERA and ranks in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, walk rate, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.We are also going to back Burnes in the prop market, considering how dominant of a strikeout pitcher he is. The right-hander ranks in the 91st percentile chase rate and 77th percentile in whiff rate.
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