Our Oregon vs. Purdue predictions are high on the Ducks offense but even higher on their defense against a porous Boilermakers offense.
One might view this as a letdown spot following Oregon's huge win over Ohio State, but Purdue's offense might not be capable of contributing in any such capacity.
Look closer at that game. Yes, Purdue scored 40 second-half points to force overtime. That is more a criticism of the Illini attention span than it is a credit to the Purdue's offense. Furthermore, some concern should inherently follow falling behind Illinois 24-3 at halftime in the first place. It's worth noting that the Huskers held the Boilermakers to just 10 points, seven of them coming on a garbage-time touchdown. Purdue gained all of 224 total yards. It should be no surprise that the Boilermakers are vulnerable against a potent pass rush, losing nearly six expected points per game on sacks, scrambles, and throwaways.
Gabriel has rushed for a touchdown in four of his last five games. Near the goal line seems to be the only spot he really does run, with three of his last 14 carries reaching the end zone. The total opened at 58.5 on Sunday and held there until Wednesday morning, when it began to tick up note by note, peaking at 61.5 before settling at 60.5 on Thursday.Before last week’s second-half flurry, Purdue was 0-4 ATS against FBS competition, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 27.5 points in those four games. Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website.
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