From WSJopinion: The Biden administration’s agenda has energized Republicans without galvanizing Democrats, writes KarlRove
Susan Wright holds a Bible with Rep. Ron Wright at his swearing-in ceremony in Washington, Jan. 3, 2019.While one special election doesn’t necessarily set the pattern for the midterms—which are still 18 months off—both parties should study the results of Saturday’s “jungle primary” to fill the vacancy created by the death of Texas Sixth District Republican Rep. Ron Wright.
Democrats were guardedly optimistic about flipping the district, which Mitt Romney carried by 17 points in 2012 but President Trump won by only 3 in 2020. National media also hyped the contest, with NBC depicting it as a “battle for the once-safe GOP district that has trended to the left.” Texas doesn’t have party registration. Voters are labeled Republican or Democrat based on which party primary they last voted in. In the 2020 primaries, 54% of the Sixth District’s total turnout voted in the GOP primary while 46% voted in the Democratic.
The nearly 25-point gap between the GOP and Democratic totals should also disabuse Mr. Biden’s West Wing ideologues of the notion that his progressive agenda is supported by Republicans and independents because crosstabs say so in polls describing the administration’s policies as Mom, Apple Pie and the American Flag.
Yet this means about 2 out of every 3 GOP voters ignored the former president’s endorsement and chose another Republican. Further, some of Ms. Wright’s movement may have been the result of endorsements coming down the stretch by popular local mayors and members of Congress.
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