The longer the country’s allies resist talking about the compromises that will be required to end the fighting, the more ground they will lose in the rest of the world.
Here in New Delhi, policymakers are beginning to worry. India’s long-awaited presidency of the G-20 grouping is turning out to be even more difficult than they anticipated.
They are responding, also, to a changed atmosphere among “neutral” nations in Asia and Africa. New Delhi’s Raisina Dialogue is one of the rare platforms that foregrounds the emerging world’s approach to global problems. There, last week, Russia’s foreign minister Sergei Lavrov addressed the crowd shortly after US secretary of state Anthony Blinken.
By contrast, at the same conference last year, European leaders successfully portrayed the invasion as imperialist revanchism. At the time, though, Russia’s armies were rampaging across a third of Ukraine. Today, after a series of humiliating retreats, they are throwing all they have at one small, strategically irrelevant town in Donbas and have failed to take it for months.
Naturally, this does not mean that the US and its allies should cut off support for the Ukrainian military. Defending Ukraine’s sovereignty and seeking a sustainable peace are not substitutes in reality, even if they are rhetorically. Nor can anyone claim that the Russian government appears particularly interested in sitting down for meaningful negotiations at the moment.
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