Ominous history for Biden: Incumbents trying to win over their parties often struggle to win again

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Ominous history for Biden: Incumbents trying to win over their parties often struggle to win again
Jimmy CarterJoe BidenLyndon Johnson
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Democratic Party leaders are publicly standing by President Joe Biden after a disjointed debate performance. But there’s plenty of private worry about whether the 81-year-old president is up to the job itself or the task of defeating Republican former President Donald Trump. Presidential campaign history offers Democrats lessons to consult.

FILE - Jimmy Carter , left, and Gerald Ford, right, shake hands before the third presidential debate, Oct. 22, 1976, in Williamsburg, Va. President Joe Biden talks on the phone as he walks to board Air Force One at McGuire Air Force Base, Saturday, June 29, 2024, in Burlington County, N.J. From left, Natalie Biden, Biden, Finnegan Biden, and first lady Jill Biden. FILE - Jimmy Carter , left, and Gerald Ford, right, shake hands before the third presidential debate, Oct.

Legislative successes followed, but Carter rankled Washington Democrats. Global inflation, U.S. unemployment and interest rates climbed, and Carter’s popularity fell. Reagan won two general election landslides, but the foundation was his 1976 primary challenge against Ford. Ford hailed from Capitol Hill’s center-right, a Republican cohort that mostly accepted the federal government’s expanded scope since Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s New Deal. Reagan, meanwhile, was corralling conservatives who never embraced FDR’s America and blanched at the Civil Rights Movement and social revolutions of the 1960s and 1970s.

The assassination of John F. Kennedy thrust Johnson into the Oval Office in November 1963. Known as LBJ, the colorful Texan trounced Republican Barry Goldwater in 1964. Johnson amassed the most sweeping legislative record since FDR: the Civil Rights Act of 1964, Voting Rights Act of 1965, Medicare and Medicaid. But Johnson vastly expanded U.S. involvement in Vietnam — and lied to the country in the process. He also found himself unable to shepherd Americans through social changes of the era.

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