As meteorologists prepare the winter forecast, the jet stream emerges as a significant factor.
These fast-moving air currents, found mainly in the mid- and upper-latitudes of both hemispheres, influence global weather patterns by pushing storms around the globe and often dividing warmer and cooler regions.For several years, an El Niño pattern has made the region warmer and drier than average. Now, a transition is underway.
In Ohio, the polar jet stream brings cooler air toward the Great Lakes, while the Pacific or subtropical jet stream brings moisture into the continent.Since the jet stream often acts as a storm track that brings more storms through our part of the country with wet weather, and the potential for more rain and snow, this change could break our current drought pattern.
However, with La Niña, the southern jet moves into our region, and the polar jet brings in more of the storm track to the Great Lakes. This could result in a warmer and wetter winter than average. However, if the storm track shifts a few hundred miles south, colder air could lead to more snow.Historical data shows cooler than normal temperatures in December and January, but warmer than average in February.
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