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After winning a razor-thin election that year, DeSantis went on to win reelection in a landslide four years later. At the same time, the Republican Party in the state was fundamentally transformed. Trump carried the state by a healthy 3-point margin in 2020, and after 2022, the Democratic Party was shut out of state government, relegated to a meager number of state representatives and senators amid a GOP supermajority.
But in Ohio, both sides of the GOP divide can claim victories at the state level during the Trump years. And with a Senate race on the ballot this November, a possible Senate vacancy on the horizon, and an open gubernatorial race in 2026, the Ohio GOP may look like a very different party two years from now.
One political activist in Ohio I spoke to said the outcome of the Senate race was tantamount to a “political earthquake” within the establishment, raising serious questions about the ability of more traditionally minded Republican candidates to win a statewide primary when facing off against a MAGA-supported populist.
But the primary election is where the party’s policy agenda is largely forged, and similar to what happened in Florida in 2018, whoever wins the governorship in two years has the potential to shift the state party’s policy goals. Still, there could be pitfalls in selecting a candidate who does not have broad appeal.
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