Republicans have the most to lose on Tuesday, since they currently hold the governorships at stake in Kentucky and Mississippi, along with the two legislative chambers at risk in Virginia
Bevin and Beshear slug it out in the Bluegrass State. Photo: Getty Images/Shutterstock Off-year elections, like special elections, mostly affect the scattered populations of people directly affected. But they are also interpreted — and over-interpreted — as national political harbingers. At a time when the national political landscape is dominated by the outsized personality of Donald J.
The campaign has been both nastily personal and ideological, as this report from the Louisville Courier-Journal in September illustrated: [I]f Bevin wins, it will prove finally that Kentucky has shed the last vestiges of its Democratic past. In other words, if Bevin, one of the most unpopular governors in the country who’s managed to annoy major voting blocs numerous times, still pulls it out on Tuesday, he can thank the popularity of Donald Trump and the fact he lives in a wholly red state.
Republican nominee Tate Reeves isn’t as unpopular as Matt Bevin. But he’s far from being a beloved figure, either, and his rigidly conservative ideology is doing him no favors in a competitive race. He struggled to win the nomination, and was knocked into a runoff with former state Supreme Court Justice Bill Waller, Jr., who had a more moderate platform. He survived the runoff by eight points.
All these thumbs on the scale for Reeves, however, led the Cook Political Report to rate the race as “Leans Republican.”
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