There’s now a greater than 93 percent chance 2023 will surpass 2016 as the planet’s warmest year.
— but scientists thought it would come in 2024. El Niño is associated with warmer-than-normal surface waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, and is known for heating up the planet and fueling extreme weather.A strong El Niño pattern that formed in 2015 and lasted into 2016 helped push the planet to record average warmth in 2016. But this year’s warming pattern has differed from the heat of 2016, said Robert Rohde, lead scientist for Berkeley Earth.
“Most of the time when you are building towards a new record, the weather is warm from the very start,” Rohde said in an email. ”“That path towards record warmth is quite unusual,” Rohde said.that 2023 will be the warmest, a huge leap since the beginning of the year when they placed the odds at just 14 percent.
While El Niño may to some degree be responsible for the onset of this year’s warming, oceans are record-hot far beyond the epicenter of the El Niño pattern in the Pacific.
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