Nvidia Shares Rebound After DeepSeek's Cheaper AI Model Sparks Sell-Off

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Nvidia Shares Rebound After DeepSeek's Cheaper AI Model Sparks Sell-Off
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Nvidia's stock saw a rebound in the premarket on Tuesday following a significant sell-off on Monday. The sell-off was triggered by the release of DeepSeek's open-source AI model, which reportedly outperforms OpenAI's models at a fraction of the cost. While some analysts see DeepSeek's advancements as a long-term positive for the AI industry, others are concerned about the potential impact on Nvidia's dominance.

Shares traded higher in the premarket Tuesday, as traders reassessed the implications of a much cheaper-to-build large-language model for the artificial intelligence trade. The chipmaker's rebound in the early session was shaky, with it up about 3%. The stock's bounce was much bigger earlier in the morning and was reducing as the official market open neared.

\Monday's steep sell-off — which sent shockwaves across the broader tech industry, with Nasdaq Composite dropping 3% — came as traders grew fearful that an AI stock bubble could burst due to the emergence of Chinese startup DeepSeek.DeepSeek last week released an open-source model that reportedly outperformed OpenAI's in different tests. The company also said the initial version of this model cost less than $6 million to build — a fraction of the billions of dollars major U.S. tech companies are spending on AI. \To be sure, Nvidia — which has been the posterchild of the U.S. AI trade due to its high-powered chips — called DeepSeek's R1 model 'DeepSeek's work illustrates how new models can be created using that technique, leveraging widely-available models and compute that is fully export control compliant,' an Nvidia spokesperson told CNBC on Monday. Additionally, most Wall Street analysts stood by Nvidia after the sell-off, with none of them downgrading the stock thus far. Some also see the DeepSeek developments as a long-term positive for AI. 'We think investors need to differentiate between the impacts around potential benefits and drawbacks of DeepSeek for the software industry. More powerful LLM models that can run at a fraction of the original cost estimates (if confirmed) will mean that genAI adoption should come easier … and hence, faster and broader across the software universe,' wrote Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow. To be sure, while Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore kept his overweight rating on the stock, he did trim his price target to $152 from $166 on Tuesday. 'The DeepSeek release highlights evolutionary innovations in AI, some of which may be deflationary. That said, the stock market reaction is probably more important than the cause, and could bring further export controls or reduce spending enthusiasm; trimming PTs but remain positive,' he said.

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