Market Analysis by covering: Euro US Dollar, Australian Dollar US Dollar, NVIDIA Corporation, US Dollar Index Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com
) earnings report, we think a miss could have wider risk sentiment and FX implications than a beat. Among G10 currencies,reaction will tell us how much AI concerns are US-specific. The CEE region remains on a dovish wave, also thanks to strong FXCalm returned to tech stocks yesterday, but it looks tentative ahead of today’s high‑stakes Nvidia earnings.
With some investor unease around AI stocks still lingering, Nvidia will probably need to beat consensus and offer strong guidance to provide meaningful reassurance. At this stage, the downside risks to global risk sentiment from a miss appear larger than the upside from a beat.most at risk. Among them, AUD is in a particularly stretched overbought position, with CFTC data showing the largest speculative long positioning in G10. A slightly hotter-than-expected 3.8% Januaryprint in Australia overnight gave an extra bit of support to AUD, with a hike in May now priced in. A strong domestic story would fall short of protecting AUD in an equity correction, though. If the USD were to fall alongside high‑beta FX, it would be a concerning signal that markets are developing broader, US‑specific worries linked to AI revaluations. We sense that this is less likely, and that the dollar will instead continue to respect its somewhat reduced – but still negative – correlation with US equities.rising to 91 in the February print, while last month’s drop was downsized in the revision. In his State of the Union address, US President Donald Trump focused on the economy and falling inflation, but also reiterated the possibility of conflict with Iran, although he prefers a peaceful solution.) today – hardly market-moving at all. Tomorrow’s speech by ECB President Lagarde at the EU Parliament is the only potential domestic driver for the euro this week, ahead of flash CPI figures on Friday.has continued to trade in short-term overvaluation territory despite the recent decline in spot prices. The 2-year swap rate differential has widened some 10bp in favour of the dollar throughout February, and oil price increases have also contributed to keeping EUR/USD fair value under pressure. That said, concerns about concentration risks in the US remain quite vivid and are likely to continue encouraging buying on EUR/USD dips. We are still inclined to think the 1.1750-60 support can hold for now.This publication has been prepared by ING solely for information purposes irrespective of a particular user’s means, financial situation or investment objectives. The information does not constitute investment recommendation, and nor is it investment, legal or tax advice or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instrument.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes.and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
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