Everyone said carbon emissions in Europe would rise this winter because of Russia's cut-off of cheap natural gas. Everyone was wrong.
, it says November 2022 saw the lowest values for the month in the EU in at least 30 years for total CO2 emissions, gas consumption, power sector CO2 emissions, and power generation from fossil fuels.
. This was based on a misunderstanding. The EU is increasing fossil fuel imports from around the world, but not because of an increase in consumption. Rather, EU utilities were scrambling to replace the lost supply from Russia after that country cut off gas exports to the EU. In addition, weak nuclear and hydro power output were leading to increased demand for coal and gas in early 2022.
As proof that the reduction in carbon emissions is not solely attributable to milder than expected weather, CREA says the weather only contributed to a 10% reduction in gas demand outside the power sector, while actual demand fell 26%. Within the power sector, milder temperatures can account for only 4% of the 12% drop in demand. Overall, about a third of the reduction in gas demand and power demand was due to weather that was milder than it was in 2021.
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