The wrong guess after a landslide election has forecasters owning up to their mistakes.
Allan Lichtman, a famed election forecaster and historian who predicted a Harris win, made an X post conceding to his wrong guess-- but not without a swipe at Nate Silver, another election forecaster.
In an X post after the election results showed a Trump win, Lichtman admitted that he was wrong—and wouldn’t be like Silver, the FiveThirtyEight founder.“But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut—including mine,“ Silver wrote. ”Instead, you should resign yourself to the fact that a 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50.”
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