College basketball odds, picks and predictions for North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils. NCAAB betting free pick and best bet analysis.
It's one of sports' best rivalries, and there's extra at stake tonight. Find out who our college basketball picks think has the edge between Duke and North Carolina.
Duke is 31st in the country in turnover rate and shoots a sizzling 38% from long range. The Tar Heels allow high-quality attempts from the arc, sitting outside the Top 250 at defending catch-and-shoot and off-the-dribble threes per ShotQualityBets. The Tar Heels also don't get as many calls going their way on the road, where they allow 20.4 free throw attempts per game, while Duke takes 20.1 FTA per game.
It might seem shallow to bet a side largely because of a change in venue and expectations of regression, but the numbers are tough to ignore here. Back the Blue Devils in a revenge spot to win and cover at home.Duke has made strides on defense, while UNC ranks sixth in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom, but we've already seen that both of these teams can score against each other.
There isn't much separating these rivals this season. Both teams have identical 24-6 records, and if the Blue Devils win today, they would tie UNC atop the ACC standings with a 16-4 mark.
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