A high impact nor'easter is set to affect the New York City area, starting today and lingering through Monday.
A high impact nor'easter is set to affect the New York City area Sunday through Monday, packing damaging winds, rain and coastal flood concerns. Winds have already started to increase and will gust between 20-45 mph at times Sunday.
Forecast models maintain that the storm may also stall along the Jersey Shore for a period on Monday. This will play out in the form of a widespread and long duration rain event, strong winds that spread farther inland and a high threat of coastal flooding.New Jersey is under a state of emergency, along with Nassau County on Long Island. 'As this strong coastal storm approaches, New Yorkers need to heed the precautionary measures and monitor their local forecasts,' New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said in a statement. 'With high wind warnings and flood risks, staying alert, vigilant and taking steps to prepare is crucial for everyone's safety. Our state agencies are at-the-ready to assist New Yorkers from any impacts the strong coastal storm will bring.'The MTA says empty tractor-trailers and tandem trucks will be banned across the city's seven bridges and tunnels from 3 p.m. Sunday through 6 p.m. Monday.The bottom lineA nor'easter will affect the region from Sunday into MondayTiming: 3 p.m. Sunday through roughly 8 p.m. MondayCoastal areas will bear the brunt of this stormModerate to heavy rain is likely, especially at the coast. 1-3', higher totals in some locationsHigh winds, especially at the coast, gusting between 40-60 mphModerate to major coastal flooding for all coastal areasSubstantial beach erosionNor'easter timelineThe main event began around 3 p.m. or so, as the main batch of rain moves in from east to west. From Sunday afternoon through Monday evening, rounds of heavy rain and wind will pivot through the region. In between the rounds will be some lulls in activity. The heaviest bout of rain is anticipated to arrive late Sunday night into the early hours of Monday morning. Winds are also likely to be highest in the early hours of Monday morning. After stalling along the Jersey Shore for most of Monday, the low will slowly move to the east by Monday night. Lingering showers could last into early Tuesday, though. Temperature wise, there won't be much variation, with highs in the low 60s for today and Monday. Lows will mainly be in the mid to upper 50s. Biggest storm threatsBeing that it's the middle of October, most of the trees still have leaves on them. This makes them more susceptible to wind damage, as the added weight of the leaves weighs them down. With forecasted wind gusts potentially reaching the 40-60 mph range in some locations, trees are likely to be toppled, leading to home damage and power outages. As the storm is expected to linger over the region for several days, there will be higher than normal tides, and multiple high tide cycles during its duration. This will lead to several rounds of coastal flooding, which, in some cases, may reach 3 feet of inundation. Beach erosion is highly likely, as well. While the chance of localized freshwater flooding is certainly there, the rain will fall over a period of days. This would decrease the threat of flash flooding, even with several inches of rain possibly falling. The overall dry pattern of late also helps with this. Tri-State Area weather alertsHigh Wind Warning: Eastern sections of Monmouth, Ocean and Suffolk Counties from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoonWind Advisory: Coastal Fairfield, Westchester, Essex and Union Counties, all of Bronx, New York, Kings, Queens, Richmond and Nassau, as well as western parts Suffolk, Monmouth and Ocean Counties from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon.Coastal Flood Warning: All coastal sections in the viewing area from Sunday afternoon through Monday eveningCoastal Flood Advisory: Coastal Fairfield County from Sunday afternoon through Monday eveningStick with our First Alert Weather team for the latest forecast, live radar and weather alerts.
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