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The pollster considers this a “noticeable shift from Harris’ four-point lead last month” when Harris led 52 to 48 percent.In the seven battleground states — Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan — Trump is up eight points over Harris, 54 to 46 percent.
With polling all over the place, the trends matter more than anything, especially when you can compare the same poll over time. Sois correct. Harris lost her four-point lead in only five or six weeks. That’s a six-point shift in Trump’s direction. The national shift towards Trump in this poll is no fluke. In the RealClearPolitics average poll of national polls, Kamala’s lead is down to just over a half-point, atAt this same time in 2016, Trump was down nationally to Hillary Clinton by 5.9 points. In 2020, Trump was down to Joe Biden by eight points.In those seven crucial swing states that will decide the election, the story is the same: Little by little, the former president has edged into a lead in all seven.
Additionally, among those who know, the early vote so far looks extraordinarily good for Team Trump. That could change on a dime over the next week or ten days, but right now Republicans are thrilled with what they are seeing, while Democrats stress over their usually reliable base staying home in larger numbers than expected this many days in.
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